College Football Top 128, Week of Nov. 29

Entering the final week of the regular season, Alabama seems to be a lock for the College Football Playoff. If we had our way, Ohio State would also be a lock, but the committee’s preference for conference winners may shut the Buckeyes out of the playoff in favor of a two-loss Big Ten champion. Also shut out may be Oklahoma, which is probably the best tw0-loss team in the country, and Western Michigan, which should complete the school’s only perfect regular season tonight. From what we’ve seen, the Broncos could probably hang with every team except possibly Alabama. Should Clemson win the ACC title, it will almost certainly snag a slot in the playoffs, and Washington should be in the same position if it beats Colorado in the Pac-12 title game. Regardless, this scenario absolutely reveals the need for a playoff that includes more than four teams. We would prefer 16, but at least eight teams are needed for a true playoff. Yes, there would still be arguments about who would be 7th or 8th, but those arguments would be far less substantial than discussing whether Florida State, USC or West Virginia should be the final team included in the final slot of an eight-team format.

Also note the Academic Progress Rate (APR) in parentheses after each team (i.e. Alabama’s #23). This is important for bowl placement purposes for those teams that don’t get the required six wins for a bowl game. At present, only 75 teams have qualified for the 80 available bowl slots (not including Army, which has two of its six wins over FCS teams). Only two more teams can get to that six-win level. that means that at least three teams without the minimum number of wins will be selected for bowls. The APR is the benchmark that will be used for those slots. Army will certainly get the first slot with its #6 APR (assuming  that the Cadets don’t pull an upset over Navy next Saturday). That leaves at least two more initially ineligible teams in the bowl parade. At present, we project that North Texas (#10) and Mississippi State (#41) will get those two slots. If either Louisiana-Lafayette or South Alabama lose this Saturday (or both), the next teams in line would be Texas (#45), Northern Illinois (#48) and Arizona State (#75). (It’s questionable that Texas, after firing coach Charley Strong, would accept a 5-7 replacement bowl bid.)

Rank Team (APR) W L Last Week; This Week Last
1 Alabama (23) 12 0 Beat Auburn, 30-12; vs. Florida, SEC Championship 1
2 Ohio State (43) 11 1 Beat Michigan, 30-27 2OT; Regular season complete 2
3 Oklahoma (90) 9 2 OFF; vs. Oklahoma State 3
4 Wisconsin (4) 10 2 Beat Minnesota, 31-17; vs. Penn State, Big Ten Championship 4
5 Western Michigan (70) 12 0 Beat Toledo, 55-35; vs. Ohio, MAC Championship 5
6 Penn State (76) 10 2 Beat Michigan State, 45-12; vs. Wisconsin, Big Ten Championship 6
7 Clemson (11) 11 1 Beat South Carolina, 56-7; vs. Virginia Tech, ACC Championship 7
8 Oklahoma State (106) 9 2 OFF; at Oklahoma 8
9 Washington (35) 11 1 Beat Washington State, 45-17; vs. Colorado, Pac-12 Championship 10
10 Florida State (109) 9 3 Beat Florida, 31-13; Regular season complete 11
11 Michigan (7) 10 2 Lost to Ohio State, 30-27; Regular season complete 9
12 USC (79) 9 3 Beat Notre Dame, 45-27; Regular season complete 12
13 Colorado (59) 10 2 Beat Utah, 27-22; vs. Washington, Pac-12 Championship 14
14 Navy (17) 9 2 Beat SMU, 75-31; vs. Temple, AAC Championship 20
15 LSU (117) 7 4 Beat Texas A&M, 54-39; Regular season complete 15
16 Virginia Tech (57) 9 3 Beat Virginia, 52-10; vs. Clemson, ACC Championship 26
17 Florida (24) 8 3 Lost to Florida State, 31-13; vs. Alabama, SEC Championship 13
18 USF (82) 10 2 Beat UCF, 48-31; Regular season complete 23
19 West Virginia (111) 9 2 Beat Iowa State, 49-19; at TCU 24
20 Stanford (12) 9 3 Beat Rice, 41-17; Regular season complete 27
21 Houston (114) 9 3 Lost to Tulsa, 48-44; Regular season complete 17
22 Auburn (15) 8 4 Lost to Alabama, 30-12; Regular season complete 21
23 Temple (42) 9 3 Beat East Carolina, 37-10; at Navy, AAC Championship 29
24 Iowa (44) 8 4 Beat Nebraska, 40-10; Regular season complete 39
25 Miami (Fla.) (66) 8 4 Beat Duke, 40-21; Regular season complete 30
26 Nebraska (20) 9 3 Lost to Iowa, 40-10; Regular season complete 16
27 Pittsburgh (51) 8 4 Beat Syracuse, 76-61; Regular season complete 31
28 Boise State (16) 10 2 Lost to Air Force, 27-20; Regular season complete 19
29 BYU (93) 8 4 Beat Utah State, 28-10; Regular season complete 33
30 Kansas State (29) 7 4 Beat Kansas, 34-19; at TCU 34
31 Louisville (19) 9 3 Lost to Kentucky, 41-38; Regular season complete 18
32 Tennessee (84) 8 4 Lost to Vanderbilt, 45-38; Regular season complete 22
33 Washington State (67) 8 4 Lost to Washington, 45-17; Regular season complete 25
34 North Carolina (97) 8 4 Lost to NC State, 28-21; Regular season complete 28
35 Memphis (60) 8 4 Beat Houston, 48-44; Regular season complete 51
36 Air Force (9) 9 3 Beat Boise State, 27-20; Regular season complete 56
37 TCU (126) 6 5 Beat Texas, 31-9; vs. Kansas State 44
38 Georgia Tech (8) 8 4 Beat Georgia, 28-27; Regular season complete 41
39 Appalachian State (71) 9 3 Beat New Mexico State, 37-7; Regular season complete 43
40 Arkansas (96) 7 5 Lost to Missouri, 28-24; Regular season complete 32
41 Utah (14) 8 4 Lost to Colorado, 27-22; Regular season complete 35
42 Texas A&M (63) 8 4 Lost to LSU, 54-39; Regular season complete 36
43 Troy (122) 9 2 Beat Texas State, 40-7; at Georgia Southern 47
44 Toledo (13) 9 3 Lost to Western Michigan, 55-35; Regular season complete 37
45 Western Kentucky (102) 9 3 Beat Marshall, 60-6; vs. Louisiana Tech, C-USA Championship 53
46 Minnesota (3) 8 4 Lost to Wisconsin, 31-17; Regular season complete 38
47 Tulsa (113) 8 4 Beat Cincinnati, 40-37 OT; Regular season complete 49
48 Northwestern (2) 6 6 Beat Illinois, 42-21; Regular season complete 50
49 Vanderbilt (5) 6 6 Beat Tennessee, 45-38; Regular season complete 54
50 Georgia (74) 7 5 Lost to Georgia Tech, 28-27; Regular season complete 40
51 Notre Dame (30) 4 8 Lost to USC, 45-27; Season complete 48
52 Kentucky (100) 7 5 Beat Louisville, 41-38; Regular season complete 63
53 Colorado State (91) 7 5 Beat San Diego State, 63-31; Regular season complete 65
54 New Mexico (98) 8 4 Beat Wyoming, 56-35; Regular season complete 66
55 Indiana (22) 6 6 Beat Purdue, 26-24; Regular season complete 57
56 San Diego State 9 3 Lost to Colorado State, 63-31; at Wyoming, MWC Championship 42
57 Wyoming (86) 8 4 Lost to New Mexico, 56-35; vs. San Diego State, MWC Championship 45
58 Arkansas State (99) 6 5 Lost to Louisiana-Lafayette, 24-19; at Texas State 46
59 Louisiana Tech (127) 8 4 Lost to Southern Miss, 39-24; at Western Kentucky, C-USA Championship 52
60 Old Dominion (94) 9 3 Beat FIU, 42-28; Regular season complete 64
61 California (77) 5 7 Beat UCLA, 36-10; Regular season complete 74
62 Baylor (52) 6 5 Lost to Texas Tech, 54-35; at West Virginia 55
63 Ohio (68) 8 4 Beat Akron, 9-3; vs. Western Michigan, MAC Championship 68
64 Boston College (21) 6 6 Beat Wake Forest, 17-14; Regular season complete 71
65 Maryland (28) 6 6 Beat Rutgers, 31-13; Regular season complete 73
66 NC State (54) 6 6 Beat North Carolina, 28-21; Regular season complete 67
67 Mississippi State (41) 5 7 Beat Ole Miss, 55-20; Regular season complete 75
68 Texas Tech (118) 5 7 Beat Baylor, 54-35; Regular season complete 82
69 Southern Miss (88) 6 6 Beat Louisiana Tech, 39-24; Regular season complete 88
70 Eastern Michigan (105) 7 5 Beat Central Michigan, 26-21; Regular season complete 81
71 Ole Miss (81) 5 7 Lost to Mississippi State, 55-20; Regular season complete 58
72 Texas (45) 5 7 Lost to TCU, 31-9; Regular season complete 59
73 Missouri (26) 4 8 Beat Arkansas, 28-24; Season complete 93
74 Louisiana-Lafayette (101) 5 6 Beat Arkansas State, 24-19; at ULM 94
75 UCLA (39) 4 8 Lost to California, 36-10; Season complete 60
76 UTSA (85) 6 6 Beat Charlotte, 33-14; Regular season complete 83
77 Miami (Ohio) (53) 6 6 Beat Ball State, 21-20; Regular season complete 78
78 Arizona State (75) 5 7 Lost to Arizona, 56-35; Regular season complete 62
79 Oregon State (103) 4 8 Beat Oregon, 34-24; Season complete 100
80 Oregon (56) 4 8 Lost to Oregon State, 34-24; Season complete 61
81 Duke (1) 4 8 Lost to Miami (Fla.), 40-21 70
82 South Carolina (40) 6 6 Lost to Clemson, 56-7; Regular season complete 69
83 Central Michigan (62) 6 6 Lost to Eastern Michigan, 26-21; Regular season complete 72
84 Northern Illinois (48) 5 7 Beat Kent State, 31-21; Regular season complete 85
85 Middle Tennessee (31) 8 4 Beat FAU, 77-56; Regular season complete 87
86 Army (6) 6 5 OFF; Next, vs. Navy, Dec. 10 86
87 Wake Forest (61) 6 6 Lost to Boston College, 17-14; Regular season complete 76
88 UCF (13) 6 6 Lost to USF, 48-31; Regular season complete 77
89 Idaho (128) 7 4 Beat South Alabama, 38-31; vs. Georgia State 90
90 Michigan State (25) 4 8 Lost to Penn State, 45-12; Season complete 80
91 SMU (110) 5 7 Lost to Navy, 75-31; Regular season complete 79
92 North Texas (10) 5 7 Lost to UTEP, 52-24; Regular season complete 84
93 Bowling Green (92) 4 8 Beat Buffalo, 27-19; Season complete 95
94 Syracuse (36) 4 8 Lost to Pittsburgh, 76-61; Season complete 89
95 Iowa State (80) 3 9 Lost to West Virginia, 49-19; Season complete 91
96 Hawaii (46) 6 7 Beat Massachusetts, 46-40; Regular season complete 101
97 Purdue (58) 3 9 Lost to Indiana, 26-24; Season complete 97
98 Georgia Southern (119) 4 7 OFF; vs. Troy 98
99 Arizona (89) 3 9 Beat Arizona State, 56-35; Season complete 124
100 Nevada (104) 5 7 Beat UNLV, 45-10; Regular season complete 111
101 UTEP (37) 4 8 Beat North Texas, 52-24; Season complete 125
102 Cincinnati (65) 4 8 Lost to Tulsa, 40-37 OT; Season complete 103
103 UNLV (124) 4 8 Lost to Nevada, 45-10; Season complete 92
104 Virginia (34) 2 10 Lost to Virginia Tech, 52-10; Season complete 96
105 San Jose State (69) 4 8 Beat Fresno State, 16-14; Season complete 108
106 Akron (107) 5 7 Lost to Ohio, 9-3; Regular season complete 99
107 South Alabama (108) 5 6 Lost to Idaho, 38-31; vs. New Mexico State 102
108 FIU (121) 4 8 Lost to Old Dominion, 42-28; Season complete 104
109 Georgia State (112) 3 8 OFF; at Idaho 109
110 Tulane (49) 4 8 Beat Connecticut, 38-13; Season complete 117
111 Rice (32) 3 9 Lost to Stanford, 41-17; Season complete 105
112 Kansas (123) 2 10 Lost to Kansas State, 34-19; Season complete 106
113 Charlotte (87) 4 8 Lost to UTSA, 33-14; Season complete 107
114 Illinois (18) 3 9 Lost to Northwestern, 42-21; Season complete 110
115 ULM (65) 4 7 OFF; vs. Louisiana-Lafayette 115
116 Kent State (72) 3 9 Lost to Northern Illinois, 31-21; Season complete 114
117 Marshall (47) 3 9 Lost to Western Kentucky, 60-6; Season complete 112
118 Connecticut (55) 3 9 Lost to Tulane, 38-13; Season complete 113
119 Utah State (27) 3 9 Lost to BYU, 28-10; Season complete 116
120 Ball State (83) 4 8 Lost to Miami (Ohio), 21-20; Season complete 120
121 East Carolina (115) 3 9 Lost to Temple, 37-10; Season complete 118
122 New Mexico State (125) 3 8 Lost to Appalachian State, 37-7; at South Alabama 119
123 Buffalo (50) 2 10 Lost to Bowling Green, 27-19; Season complete 121
124 Rutgers (38) 2 10 Lost to Maryland, 31-13; Season complete 122
125 FAU (116) 3 9 Lost to Middle Tennessee, 77-56; Season complete 123
126 Texas State (73) 2 9 Lost to Troy, 40-7; vs. Arkansas State 126
127 Massachusetts (120) 2 10 Lost to Hawaii, 46-40; Season complete 127
128 Fresno State (95) 1 11 Lost to San Jose State, 16-14; Season complete 128

Copyright © 2016 Doug DeBolt

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About Douglas Blaine

Capnpen is a writer who was a newspaper and magazine journalist in a previous life. A college journalism major, he now works as an administrator, but gets his writing fix by blogging about a variety of topics, including politics, religion, movies and television. When he's not working or blogging, Capnpen spends time with his family, plays a little golf (badly) and loves to learn about virtually anything.
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One Response to College Football Top 128, Week of Nov. 29

  1. John Fitzgerald says:

    Dooug, Great analysis…do you do this for an outlet where you can get paid for it? You should, I can’t believe how much work you must put into this…I agree with the 16 team …or more likely 8 team playoff format…and glad you are ranking Navy so high…I went to the SMU game and was concerned in the first half, but could not believe how good the second half was for us. There were probably only enough people to fill 1/3 of the stands and there were as many on the Navy side (or more) than on the SMU side. I went over to the empty stands in the end zone with my daughter and grandson to watch a Navy touchdown and almost caught the extra point ball….I was a few rows to high for it. Ha! Johnny

    Like

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